By Heriberto Paredes. Pineapple Pie.
R from Janeiro, Brazil. ? Two days before the election, on September 30, 2022, the DataFolha survey published, in the main media, a poll in which it gave 50 percent of voting intention to the candidate of the Workers' Party (PT), Luis Inacio Lula da Silva, and 36 percent to the current president and candidate for re-election, Jair Bolsonaro, of the Liberal Party (PL).
The final results after the election are different from the forecasts: 48.43 percent for Lula and 43.20 percent for Bolsonaro. Although the results mean a second round, scheduled for October 30 of this year, what the figures indicate is that the margin between one project and the other is very small and that whoever wins the presidency will have to govern with a strengthened opposition.
The second round also speaks to the network of alliances that Bolsonarism has been building to strengthen itself, as well as the effectiveness of the political machinery of vote buying and intimidation on voting day.
The coming weeks will be filled with tension that must not be overlooked, especially now that it is clear that beyond the presidency, governability will be in the strategies of the middle levels, from governors to federal and state deputies. And here, too, Bolsonarism still has a lot to say, having won all the governorships and many seats in Congress.
During the days leading up to the election there was no other topic of conversation, there was no corner where there was no speculation about the results of this election, perhaps the most crowded since the end of the dictatorship and the constitution of what is known as the New Republic.